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Policy impacts on Municipal Solid Waste management in Shanghai: A system dynamics model analysis

発表形態:
原著論文
主要業績:
主要業績
単著・共著:
共著
発表年月:
2020年07月
DOI:
10.1016/j.jclepro.2020.121366
会議属性:
指定なし
査読:
有り
リンク情報:
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2020.121366

日本語フィールド

著者:
Shijiang Xiao, Huijuan Dong, Yong Geng, Xu Tiana, Chang Liu, Haifeng LI
題名:
Policy impacts on Municipal Solid Waste management in Shanghai: A system dynamics model analysis
発表情報:
Journal of Cleaner Production 巻: Volume 262 号: (2020) 121366
キーワード:
System dynamics modelling, Municipal solid waste, Garbage sorting, Policy impact, Shanghai
概要:
Shanghai is the first city to implement Municipal Solid Waste (MSW) sorting regulation in China, and it also has policies on economy, demography, MSW collection and treatment. Therefore, it is crucial to understand the impacts of these polices on MSW management for Shanghai. System dynamics model is a prevailing method to simulate impacts of various policies on MSW management from a dynamic and complex perspective. Besides, different from existing studies that consider only a certain process of MSW management, our system dynamic model simulate the entire process of MSW production, sorting, collection and final treatment. Seven scenarios are set to simulate the impacts of these policies. Results show that economic policy has great impact on future MSW management. MSW generation in 2035 will decline by 3.25 Million tonnes if Gross Domestic Production growth rate decrease by 1%. Demographic policy will reduce MSW generation per capita, but increase the total amount of MSW generation. MSW sorting policy will decrease total demand of MSW landfill, but soar the demand of food waste treatment facility. Treatment method policy will not play a big role in decreasing total demand of MSW landfill. Finally, policy implications including prudent economic and demographic policy, strengthening biochemical treatment capacity and comprehensive utilization of residues are proposed. It is anticipated that this system dynamic model and policy implications can contribute to the MSW management of other 45 Chinese cities that are planning to implement sorting regulation soon, or even other global cities.
抄録:

英語フィールド

Author:
Shijiang Xiao, Huijuan Dong, Yong Geng, Xu Tiana, Chang Liu, Haifeng LI
Title:
Policy impacts on Municipal Solid Waste management in Shanghai: A system dynamics model analysis
Announcement information:
Journal of Cleaner Production Vol: Volume 262 Issue: (2020) 121366
Keyword:
System dynamics modelling, Municipal solid waste, Garbage sorting, Policy impact, Shanghai
An abstract:
Shanghai is the first city to implement Municipal Solid Waste (MSW) sorting regulation in China, and it also has policies on economy, demography, MSW collection and treatment. Therefore, it is crucial to understand the impacts of these polices on MSW management for Shanghai. System dynamics model is a prevailing method to simulate impacts of various policies on MSW management from a dynamic and complex perspective. Besides, different from existing studies that consider only a certain process of MSW management, our system dynamic model simulate the entire process of MSW production, sorting, collection and final treatment. Seven scenarios are set to simulate the impacts of these policies. Results show that economic policy has great impact on future MSW management. MSW generation in 2035 will decline by 3.25 Million tonnes if Gross Domestic Production growth rate decrease by 1%. Demographic policy will reduce MSW generation per capita, but increase the total amount of MSW generation. MSW sorting policy will decrease total demand of MSW landfill, but soar the demand of food waste treatment facility. Treatment method policy will not play a big role in decreasing total demand of MSW landfill. Finally, policy implications including prudent economic and demographic policy, strengthening biochemical treatment capacity and comprehensive utilization of residues are proposed. It is anticipated that this system dynamic model and policy implications can contribute to the MSW management of other 45 Chinese cities that are planning to implement sorting regulation soon, or even other global cities.


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