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Development of a Laboratory Risk-Score Model to Predict One-Year Mortality in Acute Myocardial Infarction Survivors

発表形態:
原著論文
主要業績:
主要業績
単著・共著:
共著
発表年月:
2022年06月
DOI:
10.3390/jcm11123497
会議属性:
指定なし
査読:
有り
リンク情報:

日本語フィールド

著者:
Yuhei Goriki, Atsushi Tanaka, Goro Yoshioka, Kensaku Nishihira, Nehiro Kuriyama, Yoshisato Shibata, Koichi Node
題名:
Development of a Laboratory Risk-Score Model to Predict One-Year Mortality in Acute Myocardial Infarction Survivors
発表情報:
J Clin Med 巻: 11 号: 12 ページ: 3497
キーワード:
biomarker; mortality; myocardial infarction; risk-score model
概要:
The high post-discharge mortality rate of acute myocardial infarction (AMI) survivors is concerning, indicating a need for reliable, easy-to-use risk prediction tools. We aimed to examine if a combined pre-procedural blood testing risk model predicts one-year mortality in AMI survivors. Overall, 1355 consecutive AMI patients who received primary coronary revascularization were divided into derivation (n = 949) and validation (n = 406) cohorts. A risk-score model of parameters from pre-procedural routine blood testing on admission was generated. In the derivation cohort, multivariable analysis demonstrated that hemoglobin < 11 g/dL (odds ratio (OR) 4.01), estimated glomerular filtration rate < 30 mL/min/1.73 m2 (OR 3.75), albumin < 3.8 mg/dL (OR 3.37), and high-sensitivity troponin I > 2560 ng/L (OR 3.78) were significantly associated with one-year mortality after discharge. An increased risk score, assigned from 0 to 4 points according to the counts of selected variables, was significantly associated with higher one-year mortality in both cohorts (p < 0.001). Receiver-operating characteristics curve analyses of risk models demonstrated adequate discrimination between patients with and without one-year death (area under the curve (95% confidence interval) 0.850 (0.756-0.912) in the derivation cohort; 0.820 (0.664-0.913) in the validation cohort). Our laboratory risk-score model can be useful for predicting one-year mortality in AMI survivors.
抄録:

英語フィールド

Author:
Yuhei Goriki, Atsushi Tanaka, Goro Yoshioka, Kensaku Nishihira, Nehiro Kuriyama, Yoshisato Shibata, Koichi Node
Title:
Development of a Laboratory Risk-Score Model to Predict One-Year Mortality in Acute Myocardial Infarction Survivors
Announcement information:
J Clin Med Vol: 11 Issue: 12 Page: 3497
Keyword:
biomarker; mortality; myocardial infarction; risk-score model
An abstract:
The high post-discharge mortality rate of acute myocardial infarction (AMI) survivors is concerning, indicating a need for reliable, easy-to-use risk prediction tools. We aimed to examine if a combined pre-procedural blood testing risk model predicts one-year mortality in AMI survivors. Overall, 1355 consecutive AMI patients who received primary coronary revascularization were divided into derivation (n = 949) and validation (n = 406) cohorts. A risk-score model of parameters from pre-procedural routine blood testing on admission was generated. In the derivation cohort, multivariable analysis demonstrated that hemoglobin < 11 g/dL (odds ratio (OR) 4.01), estimated glomerular filtration rate < 30 mL/min/1.73 m2 (OR 3.75), albumin < 3.8 mg/dL (OR 3.37), and high-sensitivity troponin I > 2560 ng/L (OR 3.78) were significantly associated with one-year mortality after discharge. An increased risk score, assigned from 0 to 4 points according to the counts of selected variables, was significantly associated with higher one-year mortality in both cohorts (p < 0.001). Receiver-operating characteristics curve analyses of risk models demonstrated adequate discrimination between patients with and without one-year death (area under the curve (95% confidence interval) 0.850 (0.756-0.912) in the derivation cohort; 0.820 (0.664-0.913) in the validation cohort). Our laboratory risk-score model can be useful for predicting one-year mortality in AMI survivors.


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