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A novel prediction model of acute kidney injury based on combined blood variables in STEMI

発表形態:
原著論文
主要業績:
主要業績
単著・共著:
共著
発表年月:
2021年12月
DOI:
10.1016/j.jacasi.2021.07.013
会議属性:
指定なし
査読:
有り
リンク情報:

日本語フィールド

著者:
Goriki Y, Tanaka A, Nishihira K, Kuriyama N, Shibata Y, Node K
題名:
A novel prediction model of acute kidney injury based on combined blood variables in STEMI
発表情報:
JACC Asia 巻: 1 号: 3 ページ: 372-381
キーワード:
概要:
Background Development of acute kidney injury (AKI) is associated with poor prognosis in patients with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI). Objective This study sought to investigate whether a combination of pre-procedural blood tests could predict the incidence of AKI in patients with STEMI. Methods A total of 908 consecutive Japanese patients with STEMI who underwent primary percutaneous coronary intervention within 48 hours of symptom onset were recruited and divided into derivation (n = 617) and validation (n = 291) cohorts. A risk score model was created based on a combination of parameters assessed on routine blood tests on admission. Results In the derivation cohort, multivariate analysis showed that the following 4 variables were significantly associated with AKI: blood sugar ?200 mg/dL (odds ratio [OR]: 2.07), high-sensitivity troponin I >1.6 ng/mL (upper limit of normal ×50) (OR: 2.43), albumin ?3.5 mg/dL (OR: 2.85), and estimated glomerular filtration rate <45 mL/min/1.73 m2 (OR: 2.64). Zero to 4 points were given according to the number of those factors. Incremental risk scores were significantly associated with a higher incidence of AKI in both cohorts (P < 0.001). Receiver-operating characteristic curve analysis of risk models showed adequate discrimination between patients with and without AKI (derivation cohort, area under the curve: 0.754; 95% confidence interval: 0.733-0.846; validation cohort, area under the curve: 0.754; 95% confidence interval: 0.644-0.839). Conclusions Our novel laboratory-based model might be useful for early prediction of the post-procedural risk of AKI in patients with STEMI.
抄録:

英語フィールド

Author:
Goriki Y, Tanaka A, Nishihira K, Kuriyama N, Shibata Y, Node K
Title:
A novel prediction model of acute kidney injury based on combined blood variables in STEMI
Announcement information:
JACC Asia Vol: 1 Issue: 3 Page: 372-381
An abstract:
Background Development of acute kidney injury (AKI) is associated with poor prognosis in patients with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI). Objective This study sought to investigate whether a combination of pre-procedural blood tests could predict the incidence of AKI in patients with STEMI. Methods A total of 908 consecutive Japanese patients with STEMI who underwent primary percutaneous coronary intervention within 48 hours of symptom onset were recruited and divided into derivation (n = 617) and validation (n = 291) cohorts. A risk score model was created based on a combination of parameters assessed on routine blood tests on admission. Results In the derivation cohort, multivariate analysis showed that the following 4 variables were significantly associated with AKI: blood sugar ?200 mg/dL (odds ratio [OR]: 2.07), high-sensitivity troponin I >1.6 ng/mL (upper limit of normal ×50) (OR: 2.43), albumin ?3.5 mg/dL (OR: 2.85), and estimated glomerular filtration rate <45 mL/min/1.73 m2 (OR: 2.64). Zero to 4 points were given according to the number of those factors. Incremental risk scores were significantly associated with a higher incidence of AKI in both cohorts (P < 0.001). Receiver-operating characteristic curve analysis of risk models showed adequate discrimination between patients with and without AKI (derivation cohort, area under the curve: 0.754; 95% confidence interval: 0.733-0.846; validation cohort, area under the curve: 0.754; 95% confidence interval: 0.644-0.839). Conclusions Our novel laboratory-based model might be useful for early prediction of the post-procedural risk of AKI in patients with STEMI.


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